Collecting predictions for tomorrow's vote.
Jeralyn, Talkleft - Kerry 52%, Bush 47%, other 1%
Jesse Walker, "It's going to be close, but I think Kerry is going to take it."
Jeff Goldstein - "Bush 270 plus; screw John Kerry."
Real Clear Politics, Electoral Collage - Bush 300 to 238.
Prof. Bainbridge - Bush 48.9% to 48.1%, EC 296 - 242.
Luis Toro - Kerry, 49% to 47.5% and Ken Salazar in the Colorado Senate race.
Outside The Beltway - EC, Bush 286, Kerry 252.
Jay at Horserace Blog - Bush 51.0%, Kerry 47.3%, Nader and Others 1.7%.
More: Slate - An EC tie?
It'll take about a month for the court cases to wrap up. The Supremes will be busy. Once the dust settles, Bush by a small margin. And the Dems will be hollering for another 4 years that he "stole" the election.
It certainly is unremarkable how completely unrelated people's predictions are to their personal preferences. Gosh, no connection at all!
Myself, I'll happily say that I have no idea who is going to win, or by how much. Who I want to win is obvious, but I'm not stupid enough to confuse my preferences with Knowledge Of The Future. That so many people do makes me feel like an alien. But probably I'm just stupid in not actually knowing the winner in advance, and so many other people are, each and all, correct that Kerry/Bush will win for sure. It's almost enough to make me hang up my hat as a blogger that I'm so plain dumb and un-seer-like.
But not quite.
(I will go out on a limb and predict that Obama defeats Keyes in Illinois; pretty bold of me, eh?)